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Strategic Foresight: a Broader Vision, Fewer Crises?

The question at the core of foresight processes is: What is in store for us? What do we need to prepare ourselves for? This issue of “Ethics and Armed Forces” goes one step further. Can foresight be made to serve the goals of peace ethics – or, in other words: Does a broader vision mean fewer crises? The authors offer an interdisciplinary investigation of the question – from the perspective of futures research, theology and ethics, (security) policy and the military. They explain key concepts, give an overview of foresight practice in Germany, and critically examine its capabilities and limitations. 

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Foresight and Modern Future Research: Possibilities and Practice

Edgar Göll

Foresight can contribute to lasting conflict prevention and the maintenance of peace

Crisis Prevention in a Time of Radical Change

Bernhard Koch

“Learned ignorance” – how foresight can support crisis prevention

Transformative Scenario Planning: Working Together to Change the Future

Adam Kahane

Scenario planning can be an effective way to initiate and assist conflict resolution 

Available Future? Peace Ethics Reflections from the Perspective of Just Peace and Prudence

Franz-Josef Overbeck

Foresight is an important element of crisis prevention, but it requires clear ethical guidance too

Increasing Complexity and Uncertainty: Future Challenges to NATO and the West

Manfred Nielson

NATO uses strategic foresight analysis as the basis for its military planning

Crisis Early Warning and Foresight in Peace and Security Policy: Earlier, More Resolute, More Substantial Action!

Winfried Nachtwei

Germany needs to catch up on inter-ministerial crisis early warning and strategic foresight

The New Unpredictability – Why Germany Needs a Security Strategy

James D. Bindenagel

History will not wait for Germany! The Federal Republic of Germany needs a long-term security strategy. 

Special: Between Technology and Man - on the Bundeswehr of Tomorrow

Beyond Reading Tea Leaves – Foresight as an instrument of modern crisis prevention

Norbert Reez

Complementing classical planning tools, foresight is essential for crisis preparedness today 

The Citizen in Uniform, Now and in the Future – a Personal Perspective

Joachim Rühle

The adaptation of the German armed forces to possible technological trends must be accompanied by constant ethical guidance

"Human existence shall not be changed without reflection"

Rupert Dirk Fischer

By changing our very nature, human enhancement faces the military and society as a whole with enormous challenges