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Strategic Foresight: a Broader Vision, Fewer Crises?

The question at the core of foresight processes is: What is in store for us? What do we need to prepare ourselves for? This issue of “Ethics and Armed Forces” goes one step further. Can foresight be made to serve the goals of peace ethics – or, in other words: Does a broader vision mean fewer crises? The authors offer an interdisciplinary investigation of the question – from the perspective of futures research, theology and ethics, (security) policy and the military. They explain key concepts, give an overview of foresight practice in Germany, and critically examine its capabilities and limitations. 

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Foresight can contribute to lasting conflict prevention and the maintenance of peace
Summary   Full article


“Learned ignorance” – how foresight can support crisis prevention
Summary   Full article


Scenario planning can be an effective way to initiate and assist conflict resolution 
Summary   Full article


Foresight is an important element of crisis prevention, but it requires clear ethical guidance too
Summary   Full article


NATO uses strategic foresight analysis as the basis for its military planning
Summary  Full article


Germany needs to catch up on inter-ministerial crisis early warning and strategic foresight
Summary  Full article


History will not wait for Germany! The Federal Republic of Germany needs a long-term security strategy. 
Summary   Full article

Special: Between Technology and Man - on the Bundeswehr of Tomorrow


Complementing classical planning tools, foresight is essential for crisis preparedness today


The adaptation of the German armed forces to possible technological trends must be accompanied by constant ethical guidance
Full article


By changing our very nature, human enhancement faces the military and society as a whole with enormous challenges